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ms's avatar

Aside from Saddam Hussein's disastrous 1980 invasion, the ruling Mullahs of Iran, despite their military tentacles reaching many different countries, have been immune from any meaningful military assault against their homeland. Even the US has largely refrained from any overt military action despite, among other things, the hostage crisis that shattered Pres. Carter's re-election chances in 1980 & the death of many GIs in Iraq via an Iranian organized insurgency.

In trying to comprehend the reason(s) for this, one can only speculate. However, I have little doubt that if Israeli or US intelligence detect that the Mullahs are on the verge of joining the nuclear arms club (literally weeks away), they will face a military assault on their nation, including Qom, that will make them wish they never initiated their program. Pakistan may now also join in making it a very interesting military triumvirate.

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Just plain Rivka's avatar

“If avoiding escalation is the highest U.S. priority, then it is only logical to withdraw our forces from the region. That would ensure attacks on our bases don’t continue but ultimately endanger the future of the Mideast. Language that describes avoiding escalation as our highest priority is, therefore, inaccurate and dangerous. It sends an unhelpful signal to our adversaries as well as our friends and allies.”

https://www.wsj.com/articles/lesson-of-the-soleimani-strike-quds-iran-deterrence-war-gaza-attacks-on-americans-5c9bbfa1?st=32gw1lv9z87rmsm&reflink=article_copyURL_share

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