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Pebbles's avatar

The West blinked on Oct 8th when it allowed the antisemitism to explode the way it did. The UK blinked when the decision was made NOT to light up Wembley in the Israeli flag as it had done with Ukraine post Russia invasion, and France post Bataclan. The US blinked when it said don’t go into Rafah. The only hope is now Trump winning elections and speeding up collapse of UNRWA and an international / Arab task force arriving in Gaza combined with a carrot / stick approach. No clan in Gaza at this point can take over imo.

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Phillip's avatar

Brilliant analysis, excellent recommendations. However, the West will fight like cats to preserve the status quo. The cold, covert, war of attrition directed at Israel by the US, UK and France is breaking down but not very fast. The usual suspects are pouring cash into UNRWA and the NGOs. Too much reputational capital is invested. No way good arguments like yours are getting a hearing.

The way forward is to destroy either Iran's nuclear infrastructure or the oil refineries in the south. The collapse of the regime in Tehran would destroy Washington's strategy of tension and create the ultimate nightmare for the West: a development oriented regime with popular backing, resistant to manipulation by Washington, London or Paris and willing to work with both the Israelis and the Kurds of Northern Iraq.

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