President Trump’s boldness in his plan for Gaza has shocked everyone and caused all sorts of responses across the political spectrum in Israel, the Arab world and across the globe. Whatever you want to say about the plan – its legal or moral implications or its practicality, you have to admit that Trump has called out the lie that is at the heart of international diplomacy. That lie is that we must always deal with a country or a people’s leaders no matter how evil they are and no matter how few or many people they represent. That lie is based upon the assumption that the “strong and the free” always need to bend their knee before the weak and their enslavers. This plan is part of his larger foreign policy goal of ignoring what “can’t be done” since it goes against the unwritten diplomatic rules of the post-Cold War world and by putting the raw truth on the table. If anything, it changes the discussion. Without getting into the Canada, Mexico, Panama and USAID controversies, when one analyses them, it is clear that his Gaza plan fits right in as it fights against the cocktail party nature of contemporary diplomacy.
The anti-elitist of populist mindset that drives many of Trump’s voters and policies are based on unsophisticated, common sense truths and the Gaza plan fits right in. The lie at the heart of the global foreign policy establishment is that we need to take what certain leaders say at face value and what other leaders say with nuance and sophistication. Terrorists understand this well. It is why Hamas was so sure it could survive as long as they were willing to place the Gazans on the alter of their ideology. They understood that human sacrifice has not left the world but rather forms a main part of its international diplomatic game. Much as the Aztecs needed to capture and not kill enemy soldiers so as to rip out their beating hearts as part of the sacrifice to their gods, so too Hamas and so many other terrorist organizations need the death and destruction of their people in order to move to victory.
Trump has called this out by forming a plan that will strip Hamas of their who raison d’etre by taking away their supply of sacrificial victims. Trump has called out the false morality of an international law that is used to handcuff the civilized and free the barbarians. The laws like the Geneva convention and those that created the courts in The Hague may have been made with good intentions but the lies that form the backbone of contemporary diplomacy has turned morality on its head. We are not claiming that diplomacy has always been truth telling for we all know the famous saying that “it’s a diplomats job to lie for his country” but rather, that the entire logic underpinning international diplomacy - in the middle east but not only in the middle east – is a lie.
President Trump has now handed the world a plan that, even if it is not completed, strips bare all the lies that have created the mess the Gazans find themselves in.
For those who challenge the morality and legality of the Trump plan – and amazingly much of the Israeli legal and media establishment is flabbergasted at it – the US administration has told them to stop the nuance, stops the worship of dictators and their “values” and to start looking at the cold hard facts.
That being said, is the plan practical? Can they convince and then re-settle the two million Gazans? Does that need to happen in order for it to be successful?
Taking what we said previously, the question we need to ask is how many Gazans need to agree and to be resettled so as to take away Hamas’s supply of sacrificial victims? The goal of destroying Hamas in Gaza can be attained if they no longer have Israeli hostages and no longer have an endless supply of Gazans to sacrifice. Much like the Aztecs who needed a steady supply of beating human hearts to sacrifice to their gods, Hamas needs a minimum amount of their own it can sacrifice on the alter of their fanatical view of Islam.
If some people start to accept the Trump offer (and it will probably have a deadline since all Trump offers or threats have deadlines) at some point Hamas will have lost control causing either a revolt by the remaining Gazans or the assumption that whomever is left is part of the Hamas death cult and is to be arrested or, if they resist, killed. If the former then Trump will have his supply of construction workers and if the latter, El-Salvador seems willing to take them to their jails (for the right price, I assume).
This plan may go against international law but international law has become the home for scoundrels. The moralization of international diplomacy has led to morality being turned on its head and the Trump plan in Gaza has exposed that by reaching down and beheading those whose lies allow them to live in luxury. The hypocrisy of the UN and its agencies and nearly the entire international “human rights” establishment has been exposed by a simple plan to provide for people the ability to raise their children in peace and comfort. They can choose to say “no” as they have for the past 80 years or they can accept this opportunity. We wrote the other day about the need to end the farce that is the Palestinian refugee problem and we have to admit we didn’t think the President would take our advice – he has taken the first step to do just that.
Maybe this will make the Palestinians in other areas of the middle east and the world to finally accept the reality that is around them instead of willingly becoming human sacrifices on the alter of their leaders nihilistic and megalomaniacal visions. Of course, this “Gaza first” approach does remind one of the Oslo process – but that was based on the lie that Arafat had abandoned his own death cult. “Gaza first” means something entirely different, now.
Will this work? Can it work? All we can say is that everything proposed by the more experienced diplomats has failed since it has all been based on lies.
My view is similar to yours: From 1967 to the present moment, Mideast diplomacy has been one long exercise in futility. Even Henry Kissinger, a man I greatly admire, could do little more than slap on bandaid after bandaid.
The problem, of course, centered on the Palestinian Arabs. The "world community" turned them into permanent refugees unto the fourth or fifth generation. And for decade after decade, the "world community" has indulged the Palestinian fantasy of river-to-sea nationalism by pretending that the Palestinians don't really mean it, and that a "two-state solution" is possible.
I'm not confident that Trump thought all this through, but I do believe he senses it. And with his proposal, he's calling a lot of bluffs. The Arab states have long made sympathetic noises about the plight of the Palestinians. But up to now they've adamantly refused to take their Arab brothers and sisters in. Now Trump is saying: "Do your part and America will do its part." At the very least, he's shaking things up, and maybe that'll be enough.
Excellent analysis. Just as Trump threatened Canada, Mexico, Venezuela, but he eventually settled for something (maybe less than what he wanted—it wasn’t even clear exactly what he wanted), this could be a threat to Hamas, and though we may not get full Transfer , something good will come out of it, as you have suggested. It might be a bit of Trump Bluff.