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Diana Murray's avatar

Of all the words of mice and men

The saddest are "It might have been."

I know you disagree Ira, but I think the US has been deliberately provoking Russia since Bill Clinton. The fruits are what we see in Ukraine. And... elsewhere.

But it is what it is.

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the long warred's avatar

Volatility and Risk are Market terms. Escalation and DeEscalation are Therapy.

Neither apply to war or statecraft.

Russia is countering the US because the US is at proxy war attacking Russian soil. Israel is a US proxy.

Russia has no conventional ability to project sufficient force into the region without the sudden complete absence of the USA. Even then… look at a map. It’s very unlikely. The Turks for one would have something to say about that, loudly. Forcefully.

As it happens the USA is probably going to contract inward sharply over the next few months for internal reconciliation.

This doesn’t mean Russia will invade the Middle East.

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